Quote Originally Posted by Sir Terrence the Terrible
JSE, P2P traffic is already overloading comcast's system to the point they are slowing down traffic, or cutting P2P entirely through their network. If all of comcast customers suddenly switch to downloading, the internet would be clogged beyond belief.
Exactly!

That's why Comcast and other providers such as AT&T which I use are looking at ways to expand their networks. They see the problem and are going to address it. They have to expand to keep up with technology. It will happen, it's just a issue of how long and how.


Quote Originally Posted by Sir Terrence the Terrible
What if you hard drive crashed? Generally download sites do not allow you to re-load or replace you movies you lost. So you have to pay for it again. Do you really think consumers will go for that? I don't.
Absolutely they will. The digital imaging revolution IS a perfect example of this. Consumers faced the same thing with digital imaging and that issue barely even registered in cosumer's minds. If you loose the image file, it's gone. People still adopted digital at a record pace. Film has been all but reduce to a niche format now. There are many ways to backup your images today and the same can and is being down with digital music and video files. I have my main hard drive and a 5 other hard drives to backup my work. I also use online storage sites as well as DVDs. None of these are full proof but redundancy provides security. However, the average digital camera user never thinks about file safety and really does not care or does not know enough to care. It's a shame but it's reality. Those of us that do care or earn money from photography take the necessary steps to protect our work.

Quote Originally Posted by Sir Terrence the Terrible
I do not think the film vs digital revolution is a good comparison. I didn't require any additional capacity to switch from film to disc. It didn't require a consumer to choose convience over quality.
I will assume you are speaking from the providers point of view. That's the only way that statement makes some sense. However, the digital imaging revolution is still a perfect example. When digital cameras first came out, consumers chose convenience over qaulity for several years. It was not until the 5/6MP cameras came out that a digital file could hold up against a film negative in a 4x6 print. That took what? Maybe 4 to 5 years to get to that point? So yes, they absolutely did choose convenience over quality for some time.

Quote Originally Posted by Sir Terrence the Terrible
Disney, Sony, Paramount, Warner and Sony just completed a study on the feasibility of downloading movies over the internet. According to this report(I just got my copy via email yesterday) the internet as we currently know it would not be able to support mass downloading of movies. Our speeds are too slow, surveys show that people do not watch movies on their computers, and there is no easy way to get a movie from your computer to your television. We are currently stuck at 720p and the studios would like to see that raised to 1080p. Bob Chapek has said that when downloading can look and sound better than disc, and have the same protections as disc, then Disney would give up disc for downloading. We are not even close to that possiblity right now, and they say it would be about a decade before we get there.

I agree with everything except how long it will take to get there. I think it will be much sooner. In the end, it's really not up to the studios. It's really up to the consumer. The studios can take whatever stance they want but it won't slow down progress. Technology will advance and again people will sacrafice some quality for convenience and keep downloading movies. Cable/Sat/Hardware/Software companies will and are seeing this and they will find a way to make it happen. The music companies got their butts handed to them by mp3 and there was not a darn thing they could do about it.