Quote Originally Posted by drseid
Maybe they should hire me as their new spokesperson? ;-)
LOL, you would be a great asset to their team.

Seriously though... My way of thinking is far from outdated really. The laws of supply, demand and the supply chain in general have not changed that much over the years. The fact that PS3 sales are driving the software sales lead now does not mean it will drive it in the future. The HD DVD dedicated player sales have hardly had a chance to yield any software sales. Most of those sales will come *next year* as software sales lag hardware sales as a general rule. Make no mistake, the software sales *will* come. The sales you are seeing right now are not indicative of those new HD DVD player sales (nor the increased PS3 sales after the price drop for that matter). It will be *next year* where those end sales will occur for the most part for both camps. *That* is where the real battle lies on the software front. This year it is to sell the hardware to drive those future software sales---Dave

It was never the plan of Sony's that the PS3 drive sales of BR disc forever. The plan was to get as many BR players released as they can in a short period of time. I do not think that anyone could foresee that alot of non gamers bought them, and plan on keeping it as the center piece of their hometheaters. Once again, time is not on HD DVD side. Warner has stated mulitple times that they are looking at 4th quarter sales very carefully. So far it is not looking very good for HD DVD as the last three weeks of sales puts bluray at more than 2:1 over HD DVD.

Toshiba has had 18 months worth of hardware sales to drive software sales. In spite of the fact they have A) lower player prices B) selling more traditional players C) and about 7 months lead on bluray they have not been able to capitalize on any of these facts. The other fly in the ointment is the products the studio are offering to the format. Universal has only one major titles in the 4th quarter, and Paramount only 2. Neither can release some really big money makers exclusively to the format. Neither have had major theatrical success in the last couple of years. Their catalog titles are selling very poorly, and neither have alot they can release next year aside from day and date new stuff, so they are going to have to produce some real hits to keep HD DVD propped up. Hardware sales do not mean alot if you cannot support it with quality software releases, and that has been a major achillies heel for the HD DVD format. Bluray by sheer numbers has made if so difficult for Toshiba to catch up, that nobody in this industry thinks its possible. According to the last sales figures I have seen, bluray has 2.7 million players sold in the US(thats counting the PS3) and HD DVD has 750k. Toshiba has had little presence everywhere else in the world. This battle is worldwide, and at this point, there is no way that Toshiba can catch up unless the PS3(and every other player) suddenly stops selling. I have seen no evidence of that.